Experienced-Shaw
0xaae67efdfc21a1f2e34907dca5b02e23e4c65147
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$100.03
Total PnL
$-2.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
56 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$55.95
$0.95
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
32 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$31.76
$8.26
- YES
Will David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?
12 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$12.33
$1.36
- YES
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
251 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$55.03May 14, 07:23 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$5.70May 14, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$23.74May 6, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$22.05May 6, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$24.59May 6, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?$18.19Apr 30, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$13.00Apr 30, 13:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$0.15Apr 30, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$52.29Apr 30, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Roth be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Idaho?$10.97Apr 19, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$10.97Apr 19, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$33.35Apr 15, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$110.00Apr 15, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?$18.45Apr 15, 08:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$19.43Apr 15, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?$14.29Apr 15, 08:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on March 31?$17.35Apr 15, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$12.00Apr 7, 06:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?$14.00Apr 7, 06:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series?$30.99Apr 7, 06:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $90.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 02:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 07:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.