Trained-Package
0xaaf14515601bc31dea9274a975e1bf36a8295a7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$15.49
Total PnL
$-18.02
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 65.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.72
$-0.28
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
2 shares @ 68.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.63
$0.12
- YES
Will François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2027$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.96
$-0.04
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 74.0¢·now 70.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.94
$-0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.00May 16, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00May 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 16, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.00May 16, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$1.00May 16, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.00May 16, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$2.00May 16, 15:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Asselineau be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.03May 16, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.02May 16, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.02May 16, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Éric Zemmour be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?$1.02May 16, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$1.01May 16, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 16, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMJack Smith charged by March 31?$1.10May 16, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 30, 2026?$1.23May 16, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1.23May 16, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?$1.28May 16, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$1.30May 16, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$2.34May 16, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$2.55May 16, 15:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $1.10
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 14, 22:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 15:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".