Tremendous-Semicolon
0xab1270725bc23f1a47a95130ad00172011203683
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$54.40
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-153.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
1209 shares @ 16.5¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$54.40
$-145.60
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
390000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-390.00
- YES
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?
150000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
100000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
62500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 21, 2026$0.00
$-204.94
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
47000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-135.97
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
35348 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-289.93
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
9272 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
3247 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-149.94
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?$200.00Jul 8, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$99.95Jun 21, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Yips" in June?$7.84Jun 20, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$50.00Jun 20, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $100.00Jun 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $40.00Jun 19, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $10.00Jun 19, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$29.92Jun 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$40.00Jun 17, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$40.00Jun 17, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.11Jun 16, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.62Jun 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.93Jun 16, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$0.96Jun 16, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$4.29Jun 16, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$9.30Jun 16, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$3.72Jun 16, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$1.52Jun 16, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$9.92Jun 16, 16:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Yips" in June?$36.18Jun 16, 14:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $150.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 18:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 21:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.