Big-Mutton
0xab273988ee614e19657da52b6e0f055b6bfc97fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
98
Open notional
$15.57
Total PnL
$-115.87
Realised
$0.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.71
$7.71
- YES
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Russia" before 2027?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.60
$-1.40
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
10 shares @ 19.5¢·now 8.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-1.17
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in November 2025?
391 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will November 2025 be the 1st hottest on record?
337 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out in 2025?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump announce a cut to U.S. military or intelligence aid to Ukraine by November 30?$1.00Nov 28, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by December 31?$1.00Nov 27, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?$1.98Nov 27, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?$1.00Nov 26, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keir Starmer be the next leader out in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next leader out in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?$1.00Nov 26, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket US go live in 2025?$1.00Nov 26, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Nov 26, 12:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$2.70Nov 26, 10:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Dovha Balka by November 30?$1.07Nov 26, 10:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed Derivative: "No Change" or "25bps cut" favored on Friday?$1.00Nov 25, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 19:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$1.00Nov 25, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 25, 18:55 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 28, 23:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".