Salty-Tweezers
0xab5406ceb5064683e90a8f1f512c83b887071a11
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $66 by end of February?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Champion of Coal event?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" during the Champion of Coal event?
134 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Games Total: O/U 2.5
89 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.29
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?
68 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Odds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?
31 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OVER
Bucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYGames Total: O/U 2.5$1.29Mar 11, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 2?$1.00Mar 1, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$2.01Mar 1, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$1.00Feb 25, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.28Feb 25, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Border" 7+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$1.00Feb 23, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $66 by end of February?$2.00Feb 20, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds US strikes Iran by Feb 2 over 20% on Friday?$3.00Feb 20, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$5.56Feb 15, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBucks vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5$1.00Feb 12, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$1.00Feb 12, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Olympics" this week? (February 15)$1.00Feb 12, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$1.00Feb 12, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYGovernment shutdown on Saturday?$1.00Feb 12, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 12, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Champion of Coal event?$1.00Feb 12, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Russia" during the Champion of Coal event?$1.00Feb 12, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" 7+ times during meeting with Netanyahu?$1.00Feb 12, 01:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 11, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.