Trusting-Attainment
0xab55ac23f72d1ac6efe143773bdd37af0b2da1da
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.54
Realised
$48.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
318 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-47.61
- NO
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.01
- YES
Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
149 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gareth Southgate be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ole Gunnar Solskjær be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
112 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
45 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
31 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.23
- NO
Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?
23 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$49.23May 19, 08:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.11May 17, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.11May 17, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.35May 17, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$25.57May 17, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$20.02May 16, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.01May 16, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Poland be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$1.00May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$1.01May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$19.13May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 16, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$10.39May 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$20.29May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$12.08May 16, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$1.50May 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.44May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$0.72May 16, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 22:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.