Worrisome-Barium
0xab60804086aa54a1fcdef3455431710a302bb46c
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$28.72
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-25.24
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
46 shares @ 85.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$28.72
$-10.03
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?
14073 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-569.98
- YES
Kash Patel out by August 31?
1543 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Israel military action against Iran in July?
952 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?
400 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
301 shares @ 39.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- DU PLESSIS
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Another US military action against Iran before August?
219 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-9.00
- PICO
UFC 319: Murphy vs. Pico
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 23?
74 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$38.75Jul 24, 06:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$10.34Jul 24, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$3.30Jul 20, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$3.44Jul 20, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$3.38Jul 20, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$6.48Jul 20, 09:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$0.17Jul 20, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?$13.00Jul 20, 03:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.00Jul 3, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$5.13Jun 28, 07:58 UTC
- TRADESELLAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$1.87Jun 28, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$15.57Jun 28, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$33.33Jun 24, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$5.17May 1, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$102.70Feb 3, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$200.00Jan 21, 22:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$55.38Jan 21, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$60.00Jan 21, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$310.06Jan 21, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?$300.00Jan 21, 21:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $89.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 04:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 24, 06:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.