Famous-Feature
0xab66c8a5d5fc109456e4a7a6a4fd97d79f146a26
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$8.75
Total PnL
$-215.77
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
83 shares @ 18.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.75
$-6.25
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
119 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will IK Start win on 2026-05-10?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 8?
50 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 2?
40 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.80
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 6?
40 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 5?
30 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.50
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on February 2?
30 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.25
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on February 1?
30 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-26?$5.12Jun 26, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. France end in a draw?$5.12Jun 26, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$15.00May 20, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$50.00May 20, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill IK Start win on 2026-05-10?$10.27May 18, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$0.00May 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$10.49May 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$25.93May 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$25.96May 18, 11:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$0.00May 18, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00May 18, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$81.17May 18, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$25.75May 18, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$25.58May 18, 11:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$64.72May 18, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$25.44May 18, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$25.36May 18, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$100.00May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?$60.00May 8, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 8?$14.00Mar 7, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 18:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 26, 09:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.