Trained-Exchange
0xab815e6158f4105ab6eabeb7ec999cc173044645
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
63
Open notional
$5.49
Total PnL
$-53.06
Realised
$-0.63
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 63- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.47
$0.57
- YES
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
255 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-0.13
- YES
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.78
$-1.93
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?
100 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.15
$-0.35
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be below 1.0%?
100 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.15
$-0.65
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 8.0% and 9.0%?
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.05
$-0.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on March 25?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on March 25?
1020 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in March?
114 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on March 25?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?$0.82May 4, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on April 28?$1.05Apr 27, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$1.20Apr 27, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.67Apr 27, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 8–9 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$1.55Apr 26, 09:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on April 24?$5.00Apr 24, 14:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 23?$0.79Apr 23, 15:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 23?$1.45Apr 23, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 23?$0.00Apr 23, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 23?$0.18Apr 23, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 24?$0.42Apr 23, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 23?$0.24Apr 23, 12:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2.30Apr 23, 11:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 23?$0.72Apr 23, 11:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 23?$0.08Apr 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?$0.36Apr 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on April 23?$1.40Apr 23, 11:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 24?$1.38Apr 23, 10:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on April 23?$0.27Apr 23, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Helsinki be 11°C on April 23?$0.91Apr 23, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 08:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".