Threadbare-Permission
0xab95c58d5792b085424c5a96f695fdd434b4393c
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
74
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-379.88
Realised
$78.86
Win rate
100%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 74- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $75 by end of February?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of February?
297 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
260 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-21.94
- YES
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-18?
250 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.71
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-18?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 13:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.46Feb 22, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?$1.62Feb 22, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$2.00Feb 22, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.94Feb 22, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$2.00Feb 21, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$1.00Feb 21, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$3.00Feb 21, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$3.54Feb 21, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$1.00Feb 21, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$3.24Feb 21, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$3.53Feb 21, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$2.07Feb 21, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$10.00Feb 20, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.00Feb 20, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$2.84Feb 20, 23:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by June 30, 2026?$4.00Feb 20, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$9.33Feb 20, 23:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 20, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 22, 13:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".