Humongous-Partner
0xabaa24526c3d59032c4fe90721afb5644fc2bf96
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$21.06
Total PnL
$-7.25
Realised
$-0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 93.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.95
$-0.05
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 17?
4 shares @ 69.2¢·now 67.0¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$2.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 17?
4 shares @ 69.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Aug 17, 2026$2.85
$-0.15
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.78
$-0.23
- YES
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.66
$-0.34
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 16?$7.14Aug 16, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 17?$3.18Aug 15, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5PM ET$2.16Aug 15, 21:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4PM ET$3.57Aug 15, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.09Aug 15, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$4.11Aug 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5PM ET$2.15Aug 15, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$3.18Aug 15, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$6.41Aug 15, 21:01 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.33Aug 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$5.22Aug 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.05Aug 15, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 20:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$0.00Aug 15, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.00Aug 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$3.00Aug 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$1.10Aug 15, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4PM ET$3.15Aug 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.06Aug 15, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on August 16?$6.31Aug 15, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $2.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 19:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 16, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.