Defiant-Clearing
0xabbc8072ffa2b53426f969d43a7d26fca509e403
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-428.16
Realised
$-111.39
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on July 8?
232 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.04
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $94,000 and $96,000 on January 23?
218 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 17?
211 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.69
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?
194 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.55
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on March 29?
187 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-50.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?
179 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.86
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 23?
128 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- UP
Solana Up or Down on January 20?
123 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.96
- USC UPSTATE SPARTANS
USC Upstate Spartans vs. High Point Panthers
121 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.36
- LOYOLA CHICAGO RAMBLERS
Loyola Chicago Ramblers vs. Dayton Flyers
121 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 23?$2.05Jul 23, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?$95.50Jul 15, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?$79.45Jul 14, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?$14.80Jul 14, 22:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on July 8?$6.45Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?$60.51Jun 5, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 5?$1.16Jun 4, 20:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?$58.79Jun 2, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?$56.85Jun 1, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 30?$2.79May 29, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 28?$2.26May 27, 18:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?$67.45May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 25?$66.03May 24, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$63.42May 18, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$0.35May 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 18?$60.79May 17, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 17?$1.81May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 14?$1.66May 13, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 11?$62.62May 11, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 11?$61.24May 10, 21:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $29.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 09:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 02:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.