Serious-Spectacle
0xabf59f829204599d0b3c5230892de5978f6ea43d
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$3.19
Total PnL
$-37.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.22
$0.01
- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 97.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 11?
5306 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.31
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on March 18?
1118 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.00 and $2.10 on February 9?
1094 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.28
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 16?
1091 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.27
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,400 on March 6?
1089 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.18
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on February 2?
1081 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on April 6?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 22?
1076 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,300 and $1,400 on June 11?$2.09Jun 11, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$2.21Jun 2, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2?$2.10Jun 2, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.12May 31, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 24?$2.09May 24, 01:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.03May 22, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$3.02May 21, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 15?$2.12May 15, 01:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$0.00May 6, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$0.00May 6, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$2.16May 6, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hoppers be the March film with the highest domestic gross on April 30?$3.30May 6, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.12May 6, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on May 6?$2.13May 6, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.90 on April 27?$2.15Apr 27, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on April 20?$1.1KApr 21, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $0.80 on April 20?$1.1KApr 20, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 19?$1.1KApr 20, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 19?$1.1KApr 19, 00:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?$1.1KApr 19, 00:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $420.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 03:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 03:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.