Perky-Imitation
0xabf76c2dc824f576442946a9308a0acc502e9820
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
58
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.6K
Realised
$-528.58
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
500000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
108442 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.7K
- YES
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?
63665 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
25000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?
22167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-133.00
- YES
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.37Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KJul 20, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.39Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.38Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$451.52Jul 17, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jackson Suber win the 2026 The Open Championship?$52.37Jul 17, 07:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.36Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xander Schauffele win the 2026 The Open Championship?$34.59Jul 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryson DeChambeau win the 2026 The Open Championship?$34.54Jul 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Rahm win the 2026 The Open Championship?$34.57Jul 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 The Open Championship?$41.70Jul 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tommy Fleetwood win the 2026 The Open Championship?$34.56Jul 16, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rory McIlroy win the 2026 The Open Championship?$261.52Jul 16, 16:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.26Jul 16, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.23Jul 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.46Jul 15, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.92Jul 15, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$52.29Jul 15, 20:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $193.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 13:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.