Aggressive-Armrest
0xac0635d1f0aba67716590d03964630545d1c7cf4
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
169
Open notional
$5.53
Total PnL
$-203.67
Realised
$9.99
Win rate
74%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 169- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
10 shares @ 10.5¢·now 28.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.68
$1.68
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
7 shares @ 28.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.75
$-0.25
- YES
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.10
$0.10
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 2, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
636 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia?
172 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Egypt?
120 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.01
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
99 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 16, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 16, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US withdraw from NATO before 2027?$1.59May 16, 16:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$0.37May 16, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$1.04May 13, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$1.03May 13, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$0.53May 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$0.60May 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$0.80May 13, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$1.00May 4, 17:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$0.82May 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by May 31?$1.04May 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$1.00May 4, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$0.40May 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97May 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$1.10May 4, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.00May 4, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$1.02May 4, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Apr 23, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?$2.66Apr 16, 09:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 15:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.