Definitive-Speculation
0xac0740263bd1e9e324731778beae54e1b8b22d0d
Wallet digest
Activity score
94/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$249.49
Total PnL
$22.11
Realised
$7.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
195 shares @ 7.3¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$143.03
$128.83
- YES
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
450 shares @ 45.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$72.02
$-130.54
- NO
Will María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$34.43
$15.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$202.00Jan 7, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.57Jan 7, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado visit Venezuela by March 31, 2026?$18.59Jan 7, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.40Jan 7, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$8.40Jan 7, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$230.96Jan 7, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.40Jan 7, 01:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$4.40Jan 7, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$59.79Jan 6, 09:19 UTC
- REWARD$1.04Jan 6, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$167.59Jan 5, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$1.90Jan 5, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$6.85Jan 5, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$50.00Jan 5, 18:47 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$138.42Jan 5, 18:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 9?$8.87Jan 5, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$2.00Jan 5, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$136.85Jan 5, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$8.30Jan 5, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$10.00Jan 5, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $40.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 7, 09:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.