Satisfied-Receipt
0xac163cc68039474d4060c2ac750b3d6a70fa4f44
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$17.7K
Total PnL
$-442.94
Realised
$-58.22
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- NO
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5035 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.0K
$-2.51
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.3K
$60.00
- NO
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3018 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.0K
$-1.51
- NO
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3021 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.0K
$-1.51
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
2523 shares @ 94.2¢·now 92.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.3K
$-38.56
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
4000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$700.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?
150 shares @ 69.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$110.25
$6.75
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
700 shares @ 10.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$84.00
$14.00
- NO
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
53 shares @ 73.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.08
$-1.31
- YES
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
42 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$31.87
$1.87
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?$30.83Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- YIELD$1.34Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.35Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$10.18Jun 11, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Japan win on 2026-06-14?$12.27Jun 11, 20:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.34Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$2.67Jun 10, 20:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Sport" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$5.00Jun 10, 14:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Muslim" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$11.36Jun 10, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$47.99Jun 10, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$3.78Jun 10, 03:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.34Jun 10, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill United Natural Foods (UNFI) beat quarterly earnings?$120.00Jun 9, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout be between 60% and 70% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?$4.51Jun 9, 17:14 UTC
- YIELD$1.34Jun 9, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$2.08Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$25.01Jun 8, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?$116.67Jun 8, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Muslim" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$6.36Jun 8, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "King" or "Queen" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$0.33Jun 8, 14:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $27.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 20:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.