Composed-Garlic
0xac403dadc890fcca06ef8e1caa135a420257b71f
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-17.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will the US not strike another country before 2027?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026?
153 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be no US government shutdown by January 31 and will the Democratic Party win the House in 2026?
82 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 60 days or more?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be 70 or more?
52 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the government shutdown last 30 days or more?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Hasanabi be unbanned from Twitch by March 31?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLAnother US bank failure by February 28?$0.17Feb 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?$0.27Feb 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.29Feb 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill GTA 6 cost $100+?$0.40Feb 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLAnother US bank failure by March 31?$0.46Feb 16, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a hurricane form by May 31?$0.51Feb 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLDon Lemon sentenced to prison?$0.54Feb 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLHuman moon landing in 2026?$0.72Feb 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$0.75Feb 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$0.14Feb 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $4.00 in February?$0.11Feb 16, 18:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$11.11Feb 3, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 21:23 UTC
- TRADESELLDon Lemon sentenced to prison?$1.08Feb 1, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 1)$1.00Feb 1, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Mentally Ill" this week? (February 1)$1.00Feb 1, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a hurricane form by May 31?$1.00Feb 1, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 4 be 70 or more?$1.00Feb 1, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYHuman moon landing in 2026?$1.00Feb 1, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by February 28, 2026?$1.00Jan 31, 21:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $0.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 17:30 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 16, 18:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.