Near-Patty
0xac42b6f3a86441ba2298fee53dc983a108f13c29
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.25
Total PnL
$-19.04
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
2 shares @ 52.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- NO
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.25
$-0.75
- YES
Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 8.5¢·now 1.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.12
$-0.88
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?
127 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Netanyahu arrested by March 31?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "One Battle After Another" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?
117 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$3.69Apr 6, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$1.00Mar 27, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$1.00Mar 27, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 24, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 3 Club Atlético de Madrid?$1.00Mar 22, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?$2.00Mar 22, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?$1.00Mar 20, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?$1.00Mar 16, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Hormuz" on Truth Social this week?$1.00Mar 16, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals?$1.90Mar 16, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026$1.00Mar 15, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 15, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 15, 18:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "One Battle After Another" win exactly 9 awards at the Oscars?$1.00Mar 15, 18:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.40Mar 15, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu arrested by March 31?$1.00Mar 15, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sirāt win Best Sound at the 98th Academy Awards?$6.00Mar 15, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.