Livid-Uncertainty
0xac4483b5777a3f1c407c8bb5c75b75019219a82f
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$0.90
Total PnL
$-0.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- MERGEWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$30.01Jun 8, 12:35 UTC
- SPLITWill Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$30.01Jun 7, 23:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$0.00Jun 1, 16:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?$30.09Jun 1, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have between 230-240mm of precipitation in May?$29.55May 26, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hong Kong have less than 180mm of precipitation in May?$1.15May 25, 00:44 UTC
- MERGEUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$30.21May 22, 08:48 UTC
- SPLITUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$30.21May 21, 22:13 UTC
- MERGEWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$30.47May 16, 00:04 UTC
- SPLITWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$30.47May 15, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vinson Watkins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?$1.86May 14, 19:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?$0.00May 13, 17:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$0.00May 13, 17:19 UTC
- MERGEStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$29.27May 13, 13:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.48May 12, 01:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.00May 11, 23:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$1.00May 11, 23:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Mike Lee as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$0.80May 10, 18:42 UTC
- SPLITStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$29.27May 9, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$30.41May 5, 14:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $138.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.