Political-Jug
0xac6100881c9d350559ec6cc0b27af50ce1a94680
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$7.56
Total PnL
$-10.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
5 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.00
$3.20
- CEZAR CRETU
Chisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
5118 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.56
$-2.1K
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 5?
13000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Leeds United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?
5000 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
- NO
Will AC Milan vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?
5000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.2K
- BREWERS
Marlins vs. Brewers
3770 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.6K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 5?
3400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
5 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYChisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis$947.48May 31, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYChisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis$0.69May 31, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYChisinau: Cezar Cretu vs Stefanos Sakellaridis$1.2KMay 31, 08:19 UTC
- REWARD$0.23May 20, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$2.01Dec 6, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on December 5?$13.00Dec 5, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on November 5?$3.40Nov 5, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?$4.2KOct 24, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leeds United vs. Tottenham end in a draw?$1.4KOct 4, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$3.8KSep 14, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$24.38Sep 13, 13:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$0.35Sep 13, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$22.10Sep 13, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$0.44Sep 13, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$1.05Sep 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$26.00Sep 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$25.92Sep 13, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$1.30Sep 13, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?$899.46Sep 13, 04:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.80Aug 26, 06:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $823.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 15:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 08:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".