Starchy-Business
0xac62fc753b953e096dfa2d7a50f53e9c2bc61759
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$18.56
Total PnL
$-23.95
Realised
$-0.51
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.3–0.4%?
227 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.66
$-2.34
- NO
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?
45 shares @ 6.7¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.69
$-0.31
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
13 shares @ 16.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$1.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
419 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.2¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.78
$-0.22
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%?
607 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%?
254 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.13
$-0.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
1122 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$0.00Jun 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$2.05Jun 19, 08:48 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.07Jun 19, 08:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$0.95Jun 19, 08:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$0.00Jun 19, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA 6 launch postponed again?$2.08Jun 19, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Jun 19, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.96Jun 19, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.03Jun 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.06Jun 19, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$1.03Jun 19, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$1.03Jun 19, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$1.03Jun 19, 08:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$7.42Jun 19, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.13Jun 19, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.15Jun 19, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.01Jun 19, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$1.88Jun 19, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.23Jun 19, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$1.06Jun 19, 08:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $3.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 19, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 08:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.