Unwelcome-Accident
0xac8f7a528559574627a6cc44e2307704e89bfedd
Wallet digest
Activity score
98/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$522.95
Total PnL
$154.13
Realised
$217.31
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
264 shares @ 56.9¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$150.24
$0.24
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
501 shares @ 20.0¢·now 19.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$98.94
$-1.06
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
204 shares @ 33.4¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$67.26
$-0.74
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?
240 shares @ 27.1¢·now 26.6¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$63.59
$-1.41
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
128 shares @ 54.6¢·now 40.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$51.24
$-18.76
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
704 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$34.13
$6.78
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
160 shares @ 11.8¢·now 15.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.39
$5.39
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
184 shares @ 13.6¢·now 12.1¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$22.27
$-2.73
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
14 shares @ 37.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.01
$1.01
- YES
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
263 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$2.50
$-29.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 31?$70.00Jun 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by December 31?$150.00Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$10.00Jun 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$20.00Jun 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$25.00Jun 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$35.00Jun 14, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$25.00Jun 14, 17:58 UTC
- TRADESELLTucker Carlson federally charged?$1.16Jun 14, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon SBF by July 31?$2.37Jun 14, 17:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in June 2026?$3.03Jun 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?$3.52Jun 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$33.00Jun 14, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$50.00Jun 14, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$30.00Jun 14, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$20.00Jun 14, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$10.00Jun 14, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by December 31?$127.77Jun 14, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$29.50Jun 14, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$22.45Jun 14, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$41.24Jun 14, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $31.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 14, 14:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 18:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.