Sudden-Airship
0xacdbca8ea419304ac544c5f5d5abd79204dc5d59
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$7.48
Total PnL
$-6.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.08
$0.01
- NO
Crude Oil all time high by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.21
$0.00
- NO
KRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.18
$0.00
- NO
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.07
$0.00
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.02
$0.00
- NO
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?
1 shares @ 98.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.91
$-0.37
- NO
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?
6 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2024$0.00
$-2.02
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on November 25?
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.01
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of November?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?
3 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.21
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor (OPEN) close at $3.00-$4.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Jul 6 – Jul 10?$1.28Jul 5, 07:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?$1.15Jul 1, 21:53 UTC
- REDEEMZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$1.24Jul 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?$1.24Jun 28, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?$1.15Jun 28, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.14Jun 23, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14?$1.09Jun 15, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.14Jun 13, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14?$1.09Jun 13, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2.07May 30, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$1.07May 9, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$1.21Apr 30, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKRG declares independence from Iraq by April 30?$1.18Apr 29, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$1.02Apr 29, 00:41 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$1.37Apr 14, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by 2025?$1.82Apr 14, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?$1.99Apr 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.04Apr 14, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance visit the Middle East by March 31?$1.94Mar 30, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by March 31?$1.36Mar 29, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $4.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 12, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 5, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.