Drafty-Opportunist
0xad0ce2d5bb27a3575ba99282fa74f4537228d90a
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$108.70
Total PnL
$-16.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.29
$0.29
- NO
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
10 shares @ 97.8¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
10 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$9.24
$0.24
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?
9 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.89
$0.89
- NO
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?
9 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$8.79
$0.79
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?
9 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.64
$1.64
- NO
Will "Mother's Day" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
8 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.08
$0.08
- NO
Will "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
8 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$8.03
$0.03
- NO
Anduril IPO before 2027?
9 shares @ 88.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
7 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.01
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "MINOTAUR by Andrey ZVYAGINTSEV" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$5.03May 18, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "AMARGA NAVIDAD by Pedro ALMODÓVAR" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?$6.01May 18, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 19?$5.01May 18, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?$7.05May 18, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?$8.03May 18, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 122m?$8.04May 18, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Apex" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$8.00May 18, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$5.14May 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Mother's Day" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$8.00May 18, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$7.00May 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$10.01May 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMistral AI IPO before 2027?$5.03May 18, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnduril IPO before 2027?$8.04May 18, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill SSC Napoli vs. US Cremonese end in a draw?$3.68May 18, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill US Cremonese win on 2026-04-24?$5.48May 18, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $2.00 in April?$6.75May 18, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle Red Bulls win?$7.36May 18, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?$8.08May 18, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Austria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$8.15May 18, 13:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?$8.17May 18, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $9.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 20, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.