Unsightly-Vagrant
0xad193a11d3a0566b5ffe3bb5acccf30ada745785
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$5.28
Total PnL
$-8.71
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?
2 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$2.30
$0.30
- L1GA TEAM
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 15?
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin in 2025?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
15 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
8 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$0.48May 25, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$1.04May 25, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Team Nemesis vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B$1.01May 5, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: enjoy boys vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A$1.00May 5, 18:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 4-10?$2.02May 5, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $730 in May?$1.01May 5, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?$0.34May 5, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$1.49May 5, 18:55 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$1.54May 5, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?$1.00Apr 9, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: ESC Gaming vs Tricked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #20 Playoffs$1.00Apr 9, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill KT Rolster make a roster change before July?$2.00Apr 9, 11:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.02Apr 9, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.06Apr 9, 11:48 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$2.35Apr 9, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$1.00Mar 7, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Mar 7, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?$2.00Mar 7, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 7, 17:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jane Nielsen be the next CEO of Lululemon?$2.77Mar 7, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $1.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 8, 12:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 05:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.