Wallet digest

active

Activity score

74/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

Open notional

$673.53

Total PnL

$8.52

Realised

$-4.92

Win rate

13 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 60

YES
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?
415 shares @ 18.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$415.00
$339.71
NO
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?
213 shares @ 4.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$212.50
$204.00
NO
No one announced as next James Bond?
255 shares @ 77.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$31.89
$-164.54
NO
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970
$8.10
$-0.80
YES
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
80 shares @ -0.0¢·now 4.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$3.28
$3.31
YES
Will Mauricio Ruffy be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ -0.2¢·now 44.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026
$2.71
$2.72
YES
Will Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.02
$0.02
YES
Will ByteDance have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.01
$0.01
YES
Will Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.01
$0.01
YES
Will Amazon have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
4 shares @ -0.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026
$0.01
$0.01

Recent activity

TRADESELLWill Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Australian Open?$0.10Apr 2, 21:19 UTC
TRADESELLWill SpaceX's public ticker be another ticker?$106.84Mar 30, 10:48 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$1.56Mar 20, 18:28 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.03Mar 20, 18:28 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.02Mar 20, 18:27 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$1.35Mar 20, 18:26 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.06Mar 20, 18:26 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.12Mar 20, 18:26 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.18Mar 20, 18:26 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$2.37Mar 20, 14:48 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.22Mar 19, 18:48 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.01Mar 19, 18:47 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.02Mar 19, 18:47 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.07Mar 19, 18:47 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$1.02Mar 19, 18:01 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.01Mar 19, 17:59 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.03Mar 19, 17:59 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.10Mar 19, 17:59 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$0.30Mar 19, 17:58 UTC
TRADEBUYWill Pauline Hanson's One Nation win the most seats in the next South Australian parliamentary election?$1.96Mar 19, 17:58 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence43 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry2 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk51 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $3.76
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 17, 10:57 UTC
Last active: Apr 2, 21:19 UTC
Win rate sample: 13 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 17:52:42 UTC·src:Polymarket Data