Idealistic-Observatory
0xad6588ef75dffd586a956fb0d2cd269f7acfb49e
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
103
Open notional
$277.31
Total PnL
$-601.95
Realised
$-11.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 103- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 9?
56 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp May 9, 2026$55.82
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?
29 shares @ 89.9¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$27.17
$1.18
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 10?
28 shares @ 73.2¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$18.66
$-2.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 10?
21 shares @ 84.3¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$18.16
$0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on May 9?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 76.2¢·exp May 9, 2026$17.17
$-2.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 9?
16 shares @ 97.9¢·now 92.9¢·exp May 9, 2026$15.29
$-0.83
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 68°F or higher on May 9?
15 shares @ 79.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 9, 2026$13.66
$1.89
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on May 9?
20 shares @ 69.7¢·now 66.6¢·exp May 9, 2026$13.31
$-0.60
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 9?
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$12.60
$-1.80
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 10?
14 shares @ 79.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$10.41
$-0.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 10?$3.5054m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?$4.091h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?$4.131h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 9?$6.831h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 9?$7.131h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 9?$7.131h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 9?$7.131h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 9?$6.831h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 9?$6.781h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 9?$6.831h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 9?$7.081h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 10?$6.021h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 10?$6.051h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 10?$6.091h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 10?$4.302h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 10?$1.632h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?$4.522h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?$4.522h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?$2.312h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 10?$1.102h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $7.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4h ago
- Last active
- 54m ago
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
