Unequaled-Freelance
0xad7ecdfb1426ce0cd29763a3972d4c53726af9eb
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-98.45
Realised
$130.26
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?
300 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Trump's new travel ban on Palestinians removed by January 31?
200 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?
197 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.41
- YES
Will the 2026 State of the Union address be between 80 and 90 minutes long?
100 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.71
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
100 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by July 31?
100 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-35.50
- YES
Israel strike on Gulf State by September 30?
66 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
50 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-17.47
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Peace plan" or "Peace agreement" during the next press briefing?
50 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Maricarmen Alva be the next President of Peru?
50 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-18.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.10Jul 14, 20:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18.83Jul 1, 14:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$0.25Jun 30, 22:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026?$0.50Jun 30, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.87Jun 30, 06:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
20 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $10.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 08:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.