Energetic-Plumber
0xadc2afaf319f0c39e92b37facb53bc81b4bc7374
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$14.80
Total PnL
$-336.41
Realised
$-3.38
Win rate
3%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- YES
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.00
$2.00
- YES
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will the Tennessee Titans win the 2027 NFL league championship?
550 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$3.58
$-1.37
- YES
Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
40 shares @ 1.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$0.48
$0.08
- YES
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? AND Will Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC end in a draw? AND Will RU Saint-Gilloise vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? AND Will Qairat FK win on 2026-08-04?$5.00Aug 4, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadian Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Liam Draxl AND Canadian Open: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Valentin Royer AND Istanbul 2: Denis Yevseyev vs Yanki Erel$1.00Aug 4, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw? AND Will Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC end in a draw? AND Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-04? AND Will PFK Levski Sofia vs. Qairat FK end in a draw? AND Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-04?$5.00Aug 4, 18:55 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.11Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$10.00Jun 1, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$10.00Jun 1, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$10.00Jun 1, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$10.00Jun 1, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$10.00Jun 1, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$10.00Jun 1, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$10.00Jun 1, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$10.00Jun 1, 02:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$10.00Jun 1, 02:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$2.25Jun 1, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$2.25Jun 1, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$4.50Jun 1, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET$4.50Jun 1, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$4.50Jun 1, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$4.50Jun 1, 01:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$4.50Jun 1, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
3% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
32 closed markets, 3% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $3.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 01:04 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 19:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.