Definite-Kimono
0xadd5533c4fca0e3a43802bb6c1279703f535dc0e
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.25
Total PnL
$-16.58
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?
3 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$2.68
$1.10
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.57
$-0.43
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.94
- YES
Will England win on 2026-03-31?
7 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- YES
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- NO
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?
5 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.29
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies
4 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
3 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 1, 2026?
2 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$1.63Jun 11, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$1.03Jun 1, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?$3.06May 23, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: ghosts vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B$3.99Apr 29, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET$2.15Apr 29, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham FC win on 2026-04-25?$3.33Apr 25, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-04?$5.33Apr 9, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYValorant: ghosts vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - VCL Türkiye: Birlik Group B$3.60Apr 9, 06:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 7?$1.00Apr 7, 09:47 UTC
- REDEEMJets vs. Stars$6.83Apr 4, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SBV Excelsior win on 2026-04-04?$4.00Apr 4, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Stars$4.10Apr 2, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-03-31?$4.10Mar 31, 15:41 UTC
- REWARD$1.18Mar 21, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Mar 21, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?$3.0KMar 3, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?$343.00Mar 1, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?$360.50Mar 1, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYNasdaq 100 (NDX) Up or Down on March 2?$346.50Mar 1, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLOpensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?$513.60Feb 7, 06:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $341.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 07:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 04:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.