Appropriate-Oversight
0xadd586298b6ef78f92263ca69e609bef447257ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$34.00
Total PnL
$-2.5K
Realised
$-9.82
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Japan’s January 2026 unemployment rate be ≥2.7%?
34 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$34.00
$29.24
- YES
Will Trump nominate Marc Sumerlin as the next Fed chair?
16000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-01-01?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + D66?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be CDA + D66?
1972 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-7.07
- NO
US forces in Venezuela by March 31, 2026?
1600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA?
1167 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.81
- YES
Will Bloc Républicain (BR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?
752 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-6.36
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
640 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-35.20
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on February 10?
570 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$35.20Feb 19, 01:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ditonellapiaga win Sanremo 2026?$0.38Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carmen Montiel be the Republican Nominee for TX-38?$0.66Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ermal Meta win Sanremo 2026?$1.33Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'The Mountain' - Gorillaz debut week album sales be between 110k and 125k?$0.09Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'The Mountain' - Gorillaz debut week album sales be between 95k and 110k?$0.25Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Tití Me Preguntó - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$0.33Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nick Goepper (USA) win the gold medal for Ski Halfpipe - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$1.51Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$1.76Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro exiled to Russia by March 31?$2.00Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'The Mountain' - Gorillaz debut week album sales be between 50k and 65k?$2.41Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill CDA be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$2.01Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?$2.04Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$2.19Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$3.24Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tommaso Paradiso win Sanremo 2026?$2.28Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Larry Page be 2nd richest person on March 31?$3.59Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'The Mountain' - Gorillaz debut week album sales be between 125k and 140k?$0.29Feb 19, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be between 35k and 40k?$1.60Feb 19, 00:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Nothing's About To Happen To Me' - Mitski debut week album sales be between 30k and 35k?$0.88Feb 19, 00:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 15:02 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 01:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".