Faint-Railroad
0xadd9abbfbb41a640a302f781d22aa775d2e66333
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$867.39
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
235 shares @ 88.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$226.54
$19.69
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
160 shares @ 64.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$141.60
$39.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
130 shares @ 92.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$124.15
$4.55
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
137 shares @ 74.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$123.98
$22.61
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$114.60
$9.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
121 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$110.72
$10.29
- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
220 shares @ 20.7¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.30
$-31.30
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?
20 shares @ 21.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.50
$7.30
- NO
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?
1234 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-48.83
- NIP
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 3DMAX (BO3)
673 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-363.42
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.07Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$108.07Jul 19, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw?$104.99Jul 19, 18:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 14, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 9, 00:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 8, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $92.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.