Compassionate-Immortal
0xade91e4502d8e8456dd98b004c4f7e607f399ec3
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.1K
Realised
$36.56
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on June 4?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UNDER
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 4.5
2004 shares @ 99.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $82,000 on June 6?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UNDER
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-9.36
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on July 28?$1.0KJul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$1.0KJul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 28?$1.0KJul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 28?$16.83Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 28?$1.0KJul 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on July 28?$11.74Jul 28, 18:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 28?$1.0KJul 28, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 28?$299.70Jul 28, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 28?$999.00Jul 28, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on July 28?$699.30Jul 28, 12:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$23.11Jul 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$518.96Jul 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?$455.97Jul 28, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 28?$5.00Jul 28, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on July 28?$11.73Jul 28, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 28?$999.00Jul 27, 19:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?$200.00Jul 27, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 28?$11.82Jul 27, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on July 28?$999.00Jul 27, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on July 27?$1.0KJul 27, 16:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$17.5K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 31, 11:30 UTC → May 31, 11:25 UTC
- BUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$8.8K@100¢May 31, 11:25 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
86% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 2 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
2 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?
$8.8K · 50% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $349.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 06:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 18:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.