Aromatic-Insect
0xadf90df7bd73c96e27ab9ec26df0e478902d5726
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-142.39
Realised
$-0.99
Win rate
11%
19 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- NO
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above $170?
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 7, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-04-19?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
- ETH
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
270 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- CHICAGO CUBS
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox
182 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?
180 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 2?
111 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-23?
110 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-0.11
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 27?
100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above $170?$17.90Aug 4, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above $170?$0.10Aug 2, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of August 3 above $170?$2.00Aug 1, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels$2.00Aug 1, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners AND Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets$1.00Aug 1, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSt. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays AND Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.00Aug 1, 16:31 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$1.96Jul 26, 22:36 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$3.21Jul 26, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$1.79Jul 26, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.85Jul 26, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.00Jul 26, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals AND Atlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$1.00Jul 26, 13:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.00Jul 26, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays$1.00Jul 26, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYColorado Rockies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$1.04Jul 26, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets$1.02Jul 26, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Washington Nationals$1.02Jul 26, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$1.02Jul 26, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox$1.02Jul 26, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.03Jul 26, 13:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
45/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 19 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
19 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 26, 20:17 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 4, 17:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 19 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.