Insignificant-Recognition
0xadf9a69d87e61e7aea67e2e8883f5cded2c9059f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$22.02
Total PnL
$-30.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?
8 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.00
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?
4 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.00
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?
3 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$0.00
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
1 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Octavian Berceanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will Francesca Muñoz win the Chilean presidential election?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
1080 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$5.00May 17, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$41.37May 17, 02:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?$41.21May 13, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alibaba have the third best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.00May 13, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.00May 12, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$3.00May 9, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?$1.00May 6, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in May?$4.00May 6, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$3.00May 5, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in May?$2.00May 5, 20:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid dip to $16 in April?$1.70May 5, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) close above $220 end of April?$2.41May 5, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?$2.51May 5, 20:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.62May 5, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$2.71May 5, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $160 end of April?$2.73May 5, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?$2.91May 5, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?$3.11May 5, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.52May 5, 20:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$3.80May 5, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $5.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 02:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".