Ugly-Kendo
0xadf9f9f0d7e63051a4fdd150a3dcd7fc2975294a
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$166.32
Total PnL
$-95.68
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
26 shares @ 98.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
15 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$15.13
$0.13
- NO
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
12 shares @ 94.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.20
$0.20
- YES
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
11 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$11.18
$0.18
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 98.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$11.16
$0.16
- YES
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$10.16
$0.16
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
10 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$10.12
$0.12
- NO
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
10 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.05
$0.05
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.41
$0.41
- NO
GTA VI released before June 2026?
7 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.16
$0.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$10.01May 6, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$6.00May 6, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$10.00May 6, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$5.00May 6, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$5.00May 6, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?$5.00May 6, 13:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$11.00Mar 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$11.00Mar 7, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYGTA VI released before June 2026?$7.00Mar 7, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$6.00Mar 7, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.00Mar 7, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.00Mar 6, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$3.00Feb 7, 08:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$11.00Feb 7, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$5.00Feb 7, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$10.00Dec 27, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$10.00Dec 27, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $6.00Dec 27, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$10.00Dec 27, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEM100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?$5.29Nov 26, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 15:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 14:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.