Concrete-Cottage
0xadfa446da67fb82a6327e52a0608fdcd3dcc75f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$51.70
Total PnL
$5.70
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?
9 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$8.70
$4.70
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on December 4?
7 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$6.59
$0.59
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?
6 shares @ 68.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$5.82
$1.82
- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.56
$0.56
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?
5 shares @ 43.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$4.63
$2.63
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.91
$0.91
- NO
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$2.63
$1.63
- NO
Zelensky resigns in 2025?
2 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.25
$0.25
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
2 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.09
$0.09
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.96
$0.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on December 4?$6.00Dec 4, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga?$6.11Dec 4, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$2.00Nov 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by September 15?$1.00Sep 10, 08:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$2.26Aug 30, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$3.00Aug 22, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$3.00Aug 22, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 31?$1.00Aug 14, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.00Aug 14, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$1.00Aug 4, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$1.00Aug 4, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?$1.00Aug 4, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 15?$1.00Aug 4, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$2.00Jul 30, 09:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYXi Jinping out in 2025?$5.00Jul 29, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother successful Houthi attack on shipping by August 31?$1.00Jul 29, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Yemen by August 31?$1.00Jul 29, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?$1.00Jul 28, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill iPhone 17 cost more than iPhone 16?$1.00Jul 28, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested by August 31?$1.00Jul 28, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $1.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 18:51 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 4, 16:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".