0xadfd3b5725ee8589d8ee61ecb2422d6d6c550325
0xadfd3b5725ee8589d8ee61ecb2422d6d6c550325
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.74
Total PnL
$-23.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 8?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on December 11?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - December 11, 4PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on February 8?$3.00Feb 8, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYFootball.Fun FDV above $70M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYFogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?$2.00Jan 16, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Jan 16, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 16, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nick Bosa win the 2025-26 NFL DPOY?$1.00Jan 16, 22:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?$2.00Dec 31, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$2.00Dec 31, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$0.25Dec 24, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on December 23?$1.00Dec 23, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $6.00 before 2026?$1.00Dec 23, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFact Check: Epstein video confirmed fake?$1.00Dec 23, 05:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$2.00Dec 23, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Francis be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1.00Dec 12, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - December 11, 4PM ET$1.00Dec 11, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on December 11?$2.00Dec 11, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1.00Dec 11, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?$2.00Dec 11, 22:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".