Shameless-Armrest
0xae3c8471c57722c74670301620c61e041394ee83
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$-17.91
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?
1468 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
676 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 45-46°F on November 30?
554 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-172.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on November 25?
323 shares @ 24.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 7?
291 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-230.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" at Christmas Tree Lighting on December 4?
211 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-57.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 30?
202 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-138.48
- YES
Will Trump say "Epstein" during the Brian Kilmeade Show on November 21?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5?
192 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
183 shares @ 28.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-52.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$50.00Apr 11, 14:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$66.29Apr 11, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$50.44Apr 11, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on November 23?$0.00Apr 11, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on November 25?$0.00Apr 11, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6?$10.00Apr 10, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 75 and 76 million views on day 6?$58.00Apr 10, 09:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?$116.21Apr 9, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?$10.00Apr 9, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 70 and 71 million views on day 5?$15.00Apr 9, 15:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 41-42°F on November 28?$0.00Apr 9, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?$52.65Apr 9, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 71 and 72 million views on day 5?$33.40Apr 9, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's latest video get between 69 and 70 million views on day 5?$9.20Apr 8, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$20.00Apr 5, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$16.00Mar 17, 09:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$15.99Mar 17, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$20.40Mar 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 7?$230.00Mar 7, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$3.00Mar 5, 16:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $41.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 20:21 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 11, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".