Horrible-Trapezoid
0xae499420c0ab598597a7131d3b43f33ed89c96d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$5.69
Total PnL
$-22.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Mexico in 2026?
12 shares @ 52.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.35
$-2.65
- YES
Love Wins: 2026 Edition
4 shares @ 55.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.70
$-0.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?
351 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will América FC win on 2026-04-11?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
44 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-6.60
- YES
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?
13 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-11?
7 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.95
- YES
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-12?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lyon win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?$0.09Apr 8, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill América FC win on 2026-04-11?$1.00Apr 8, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-12?$1.00Apr 7, 23:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-12?$1.00Apr 7, 23:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.50Apr 7, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$6.60Apr 7, 23:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ceará SC win on 2026-04-05?$0.00Apr 6, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-04-05?$0.00Apr 6, 12:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?$6.37Apr 6, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill São Paulo FC win on 2026-04-11?$3.00Apr 6, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grêmio FBPA vs. Clube do Remo end in a draw?$5.00Apr 6, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Santos FC win on 2026-04-05?$0.00Apr 6, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Operário Ferroviário EC win on 2026-04-05?$1.00Apr 5, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ceará SC win on 2026-04-05?$1.00Apr 5, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Santos FC win on 2026-04-05?$2.60Apr 5, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?$1.72Apr 2, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.86Mar 29, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00Mar 29, 13:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.00Mar 29, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$0.00Mar 29, 13:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 19:33 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 8, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".