Love Wins: 2026 Edition
Probability
43¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
-6.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$290.53
Probability (last 7 days)
-11.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 6pp over 24h
Now 43¢; +1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5983h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 47.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5982.9h
- 17:08SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5983h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 40¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 43¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 51¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 41¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 34¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.0pp
to 39¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 6.5pp
to 40¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 40¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 41¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 49¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 16.0pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 40¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 41¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 51¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 35¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET: - Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce do not get married - Tom Holland and Zendaya do not get married - Timothée Chalamet and Kylie Jenner do not get engaged Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”. If any mentioned couple announces that they will end their romantic relationship within the stated timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Love+Wins_+2026+edition+(1).pdf
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.comSource not classifiedextracted · lowpolymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (47.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.