Merry-Gentleman
0xae595adae5fa57dee76ce1462db0d54d816a29a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$8.42
Total PnL
$-34.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- YES
Will Deb Haaland win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Democratic primary election?
1 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$1.19
$0.19
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.16
$0.16
- NO
Trump out as President by March 31?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?
25 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address?
22 shares @ 94.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
14 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?
3 shares @ 71.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$1.01Mar 24, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$3.08Mar 24, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alberto Di Rubba win the 2026 Rovigo by-election?$6.25Mar 24, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Giulio Centenaro win the 2026 Selvazzano Dentro by-election?$39.28Mar 24, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giulio Centenaro win the 2026 Selvazzano Dentro by-election?$37.32Mar 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberto Di Rubba win the 2026 Rovigo by-election?$6.00Mar 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?$5.00Mar 13, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYItaly Judicial Reform Referendum passes?$2.00Mar 13, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?$1.00Mar 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran ends on March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 13, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$20.96Mar 13, 15:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$13.98Feb 25, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10.00Feb 25, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$10.00Feb 25, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during the State of the Union address?$1.12Feb 25, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Europe" or "European" during the State of the Union address?$24.68Feb 25, 07:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.00Feb 23, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.00Feb 23, 19:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$0.00Feb 17, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$1.00Feb 17, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $6.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 14:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.