Truthful-Contingency
0xae5ba7537fce977f017009cf465e0aef724e351c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$4.54
Total PnL
$-2.45
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during remarks on January 28?
2 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.32
$0.32
- PIASTRI
F1 Hungarian GP: Piastri vs. Norris
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?
1 shares @ 76.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 27, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during remarks on January 28?$1.00Jan 27, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.18Jan 27, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from any Other state?$1.22Jan 27, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? $1.23Jan 27, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGhee$1.32Jan 27, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.43Jan 27, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$1.00Sep 10, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikola Jokic win the 2025 EuroBasket MVP?$1.00Sep 3, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl be from any Other state?$1.00Aug 26, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1.00Aug 20, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?$1.00Aug 14, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?$1.00Aug 6, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYF1 Hungarian GP: Piastri vs. Norris $1.00Jul 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Yan vs. McGhee$1.00Jul 22, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$1.00Jul 14, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pump.fun launch a token by July 31? $1.00Jul 9, 07:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 07:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 27, 07:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".