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SportsMulti-outcomeExpires May 27, 2026

Will Erling Haaland be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?

Probability

94¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+2.0pp

24h Vol

$338.45

Liquidity

$1.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+14.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:59
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 2pp over 24h

    Now 94¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 754h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 754.0h

    LOW
  • 13:59Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 754h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability up 5.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 93¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 92¢

    MEDIUM
  • 3d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 87¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.0pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 6.5pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
  • 4d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 90¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This is a polymarket to predict which player will finish as the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season. If the listed player finishes as the sole top goal scorer in the 2025-26 EPL season, the market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Goals scored in Premier League matches only will count. Goals in other competitions (e.g., FA Cup, Carabao Cup, Champions League, Europa League, international matches) will not count for this market. If multiple players tie for the top goal scorer, the market will resolve to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025–26 English Premier League season is canceled or not completed by August 1, 2026, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official statistics from the English Premier League. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 27, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
  • Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).