Excellent-Photography
0xae5c3eb7cbcfdfad6d3a2f1903893f102d72347f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
62
Open notional
$264.74
Total PnL
$-498.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 62- YES
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
111 shares @ 27.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$111.11
$81.11
- NO
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch?
68 shares @ 44.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$63.07
$33.07
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
211 shares @ 37.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$22.17
$-57.83
- NO
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026?
26 shares @ 41.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.60
$11.12
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$17.89
$7.89
- NO
Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027?
12 shares @ 65.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$11.36
$3.29
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
45 shares @ 22.0¢·now 10.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$4.93
$-5.07
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.57
$-6.43
- YES
Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?
11 shares @ 45.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$3.39
$-1.61
- YES
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
66 shares @ 15.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.90
$-7.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $102.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.