Single-Transport
0xae662f5765eff4bfbd05fd1ee3edda9f5ce830a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
66
Open notional
$7.81
Total PnL
$-282.87
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 66- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
130 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.31
$0.31
- YES
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
30 shares @ 10.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.08
$-1.92
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 20.2¢·now 20.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.79
$-0.01
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
150 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.53
$-0.97
- YES
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.46
$-0.54
- YES
Will St. Louis City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup?
40 shares @ 1.5¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 19, 2026$0.42
$-0.18
- YES
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
900 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
239 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.59Jul 20, 01:50 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
9 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $4.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 20:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.