Assured-Gale
0xae7c98235d5dc797edfa3d3af2e0334238a4487e
Quality score
74/100
Open positions
200
Open notional
$134.7K
Total PnL
$-49.9K
Realised
$-18.8K
Win rate
48%
56 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
92990 shares @ 25.8¢·now 55.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$51.1K
$27.1K
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
30000 shares @ 52.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.8K
$-3.9K
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
60000 shares @ 12.3¢·now 12.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.5K
$126.96
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
39441 shares @ 36.2¢·now 16.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.5K
$-7.8K
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
80000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.0K
$-399.92
- NO
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
5105 shares @ 77.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$5.1K
$1.1K
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
7007 shares @ 17.8¢·now 70.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$3.7K
- YES
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
38500 shares @ 13.7¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.8K
$-462.34
- NO
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?
5403 shares @ 39.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.3K
$2.2K
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?
5162 shares @ 48.0¢·now 78.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$4.0K
$1.5K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$454.2837m ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$362.377h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$96.327h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$46.318h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$2.178h ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$244.508h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 28?$1.008h ago
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$82.288h ago
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$766.608h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?$1.3K8h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?$4.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 25?$17.008h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting be on April 26?$13.008h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$100.008h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 25, 2026?$66.008h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$100.008h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$900.008h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$260.008h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$31.808h ago
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$233.208h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $253.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 11h ago
- Last active
- 37m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open size, breadth, ROI, win rate on closed markets, and specialisation. Full formula in src/lib/wallet-scoring.ts.