Moist-Machine
0xae8739813b024631b3769e8788464795ee70d629
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$415.05
Total PnL
$-243.30
Realised
$-5.77
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
1350 shares @ 19.7¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$276.72
$10.73
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
185 shares @ 54.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$102.78
$2.78
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
139 shares @ 33.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$35.55
$-10.45
- YES
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?
1645 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.99
- YES
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
969 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-15.70
- YES
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Moldova advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
227 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- YES
Will Belgium be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
203 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
164 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$46.00Jun 13, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$46.07Jun 13, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$47.00Jun 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$45.88Jun 13, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$100.00Jun 13, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$79.00Jun 12, 09:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$78.34Jun 12, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$87.00Jun 12, 09:07 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$78.89Jun 12, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$100.00Jun 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$79.41Jun 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$9.81Jun 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Any Other Score?$9.00Jun 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?$10.00Jun 11, 23:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$80.00Jun 11, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$40.00Jun 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$40.00Jun 11, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$18.03Jun 11, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?$20.37Jun 11, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?$10.00Jun 11, 22:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $42.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 19:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 16:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.