Exalted-Twitter
0xae89da6594bb0d421c8d807d74e213f8729e90b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$57.0K
Total PnL
$5.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
20000 shares @ 77.7¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$15.0K
$-492.80
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
28000 shares @ 46.7¢·now 51.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$14.4K
$1.3K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
11000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.0K
$825.00
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
9092 shares @ 26.4¢·now 76.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.0K
$4.6K
- YES
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?
26750 shares @ 35.6¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$5.6K
$-3.9K
- NO
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
5531 shares @ 20.1¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$4.3K
$3.2K
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026?
1309 shares @ 20.5¢·now 31.9¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$416.98
$149.02
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?
745 shares @ 5.7¢·now 33.1¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$246.27
$203.67
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
21 shares @ 95.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-19.99
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$21.04Jun 14, 00:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$9.63Jun 14, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$9.63Jun 14, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$0.49Jun 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$9.99Jun 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$4.75Jun 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$4.75Jun 14, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$31.56Jun 14, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$9.99Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$9.99Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$9.99Jun 14, 00:19 UTC
- REWARD$24.68Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$31.56Jun 13, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$9.99Jun 13, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$9.99Jun 13, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$9.99Jun 13, 23:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$21.04Jun 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$9.99Jun 13, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$9.90Jun 13, 23:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$21.04Jun 13, 22:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $199.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 16:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.